Sunday, June 29, 2008

New Goal

A blog i read for the isles is called Okposonet. this blog was made after the isles signed with pick 7 in the NHL draft a player named Kyle Okposo, who had the seeming potential to be a star.

So, everyone talks about fernando martinez like he's a coming superstar. So since this blog seems redundant as is, we'll be changing the focus to the future.

So: FernandoMartinez Watch!

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Current Stats
Date 3/29/08.

Binghamton Mets (AA)

40 Games Played, 169 At Bats
302/.339/.450,
23 Runs,
11 Doubles, 4 HR,
19 RBIs,
8 BB, 41K

Martinez has been injured a lot in his career, but his BA till his first 3 games back with the club was around .280. Now it's risen to 300, mainly due to his getting like 7 hits in 3 games.

A good sign. But naturally we have some things he needs to fix.

One: Doesn't Walk enough. In 177 Plate Appearances, he has 8 walks. Uh, that's not good, and it contributes to his mediocre OBP (339). Naturally this is a skill that players learn with age and experience, so it'll be a key thing we keep an eye on.
Two: Ks too often. This follows with point 1, as it probably is indicative of him swinging too much at balls out of the zone. This should also immprove with experience, and certainly can't get worse as he's currently striking out once every four plate appearances.

Finally to explain what we're looking for, lets look at a Met we all know and like.

David Wright.
This is year 2/3 of FMart, so we'll check out wright as well. This was wright's 3rd year, and he was 20, a year older than Fmart.

FSL Mets (A+ league, so one notch below Binghamton).
270/369/459, 72 walks, 98 Ks, 39 Doubles, 15 HRs in 466 at bats. To compare this well, let's extrapolate the data.

So roughly at this point, Wright had:
270/369/459, 37 Ks 27 BB 15 doubles, 6 HR in 177 ABs

He struck out less, and notice he walked roughly 3 times as much as Fmart. This suggests the striking out was more due to him taking pitches than swinging. Also, Wright hit more doubles, which is a good indicator of power, something Fmart appears close to doing.

It would be good to note that FMart is a year younger than Wright at this point. Also, its hard to compare the two, since two players are rarely so comparable. But the point is made, that Fmart has a ways to come till he can come close to wright's "superstarish" numbers and be a savior to this franchise.

Oh and those numbers of wright? that was his 2nd to last year in the minors, and the year after he came up for good. So we're clearly getting ahead of ourselves here. Fmart is not anywhere close to wright in readiness yet (All people asking for FMart to come up to the majors need to be shot right now, thats a BAD idea as you can see by the comparison). But we'll keep track on this often.

Thursday, June 12, 2008

Optimism taking a holder- Schmoozer's Monologue, Pitch Counts, and Baseball

So it's rather hard to be optimistic these days about the mets. So, besides pelfrey yesterday there isn't much to say on that matter.

So coming back from the gym i caught the bulk of steve somers' (aka "Schmoozer") monologue on the radio. And his rant was against pitch counts.

Both Pelfrey and Santana were dominating, he said, in the typical schmooze impassioned voice. Yet both were taken out due to pitch counts! Same with Maine the previous day he'd said.

Well, I thought about this, and it's an interesting question. I know there's been studies saying that certain pitchers' durability especially early on, involves limiting innings pitched and perhaps pitches themselves per start. That said...

Santana went 7 today. Why not give him 8 and 9? Santana is an ace who is a veteran. he also knows what to do when he starts losing his stuff late in starts. Shouldn't he have been fine?

Pelf gives up a hit in the 9th, fine. But he'd been dominant to that point. Why waste billy on that?

Maine looked mediocre through 5 with a large pitch count (100 pitches or so). But with a 5-1 lead, why couldn't we have let him, an experienced if not veteran starter try to go 6 to save the pen the extra inning and not tax the long reliever?

These are the questions that are asked. My responses are: 1. Yes. 2. No. 3. Not Sure.

Lets go by individual situations here. In santana's case, he was purely dominant, and has a record of dominance. moreover, as an ace pitcher, we've seen what he's able to do when he realizes early he doesn't have it on a particular day. That last bit is particularly important, for the only argument i can think of against it is that he might lose his stuff in the last 2 innings. And we've seen what he can do when he's losing it. In other words, a 2-0 lead should be perfectly safe for 2 innings, even with nonoptimum santana. And if his next start was hard on him, i'd believe he could get through it.

Roy Halladay pitches complete innings all the time, and while his pc isnt that high as santanas was, the point is that an Ace should be able to go 9 on a decent amount of occasions.

With Pelf, I liked willie's decision. Yes, Pelf just needed 3 more outs. But as a nonexperienced person in unknown territory, I'd rather he get the chance to go 1-2-3 with billy ready if he gives up a hit. which is what happened.

with Maine, I'm not sure. Schmooze is wrong on one point, Maine looked mediocre at best on Tuesday (I was there). Still, with a 4 run lead, im not sure it was worth wasting a reliever for one more inning.

I need to think this one over more now.

Sunday, June 1, 2008

June 1st- Mets take 3 of 4 from LA, Beating the dodgers 6-1

Looks like a good day for optimistic fans, huh? Today's game showcased the return of Ryan Church from his concussion and Post Concussion Syndrome. On the other hand, SuperTatis (TM) was benched in favor of Endy? A smart move?

Survey says......Yes!

-Johan Santana started the game off rocky giving up a quick run, but Kemp was picked off trying to steal on first motion, and that was it for the dodger offense. Johan went 7 and 2/3 innings of strong ball, lowering his ERA to 2.30.
-The first two times through the order, Jose Reyes got on base, got to second (once via SB, once via a double) and was driven home by David Wright. Sounds like 06 a bit. Reyes ended up 2/5 with 2 Runs scored, while Wright went 3/4 with a run and the 2 RBIs that were Reyes.
-The third inning, which started with the second Reyes-Wright combination, was where it all came together for the mets. After Wright's RBI single, Beltran crushed a ball for the second straight night. A clearly shaken Kuroda then walked Delgado easily, and then Ryan Church announced his return with the second Home run of the inning to make it 6-1 mets. This was all the mets would need.
-Church's return was indeed impressive, 3/4 with a single, double and a home run, and another hard hit ball that was caught near the warning track in the second inning. The double probaly should've been caught by the center fielder, but this clearly made every met fan smile.
-The Bullpen came in the 8th to finish it off. Joe smith nailed Jeff kent loading the bases, but Scott "I am Actually worth a three year contract" Schoeneweis got James Loney to ground into a 6-4 Ground out.

All in all, a great game, and 3/4 from the dodgers after 2/3 from the marlins shows that we're right back on track.

The mets are only 3 and a half out guys, this season is far from over and we look good.

Welcome!

So it's come to my attention that a lot of you, whether because you've just become met fans, or because you have depressing negative temperaments have lost hold of the ol mets slogan (started in 1973, before i was born) "Ya gotta believe!" These are the Amazins, and despite playing like crap, we're at .500 and we are only 4 games back.

You KNOW that david wright will start swinging better soon (such as he did last september, when we hit over .350) and beltran should break out of it. Delgado might be a lost cause, but Willie seems more likely to platoon for him on occasion and give him breaks and he can still hit for power on occasion. And Reyes is heating up for sure.

Tatis is really living up to his musical theme, and Ramon Castro/Brian Schneider are a nice combo at catcher. When a healthy Ryan Church comes back and maybe Alou as well, our bench will be solid, and our team will be solid.

This is a team that can and should still win the NL East.

Now Lets Go Mets.