Quick post here, The box score of tonights binghamton game shows Fmart, playing for the first time in 3 games, having been replaced after 1AB.
Not good.
More as we hear it.
EDIT: Never mind, the game in question was suspended before Fmart's recent injury, and thus the Ab is from earlier. Pay my folly no mind.
More important post to come soon, i promise.
Monday, July 28, 2008
Tuesday, July 22, 2008
Mets-Phils...not as big a deal as the media would have you think.
In what is a typical media frenzy, the mets-phils series the next 3 days is getting super-hyped up.
And I can't say I'm immune to the excitement. I have tickets to tonight's game after all.
Still, the series is not as important as the media would have you believe. Here's the situation.
Mets-Phils Tied.
Florida 1 Game Back
Now yes, if either the mets or phils sweep, the situation may prove fatal for the losing team. At the same time, we've seen how fickle a 3 game lead is in this season and the last season, and it's far from insurmountable.
But if there's no sweep, and its just a standard one team wins 2/3, the series' importance is marginal at best. In that case, the winning team gains 1 game other, which is really negligible in importance at this point in the season. And then of course, Florida coul easily catch up with the winner of this series if they beat atlanta the next 2 games.
In other words, the mets should win at least one game of this series. That's pretty important, though getting swept is not the be-all-end-all of the season. Once they do that, they just gotta maintain a high quality of play throughout the season. If they win this series and don't do that, the series wont mean anything anyhow.
What's important is playing a strong last 60 games, not winning a 3 game set with 60 games to go.
Lets not lose our eyes on the Prize.
LGM.
And I can't say I'm immune to the excitement. I have tickets to tonight's game after all.
Still, the series is not as important as the media would have you believe. Here's the situation.
Mets-Phils Tied.
Florida 1 Game Back
Now yes, if either the mets or phils sweep, the situation may prove fatal for the losing team. At the same time, we've seen how fickle a 3 game lead is in this season and the last season, and it's far from insurmountable.
But if there's no sweep, and its just a standard one team wins 2/3, the series' importance is marginal at best. In that case, the winning team gains 1 game other, which is really negligible in importance at this point in the season. And then of course, Florida coul easily catch up with the winner of this series if they beat atlanta the next 2 games.
In other words, the mets should win at least one game of this series. That's pretty important, though getting swept is not the be-all-end-all of the season. Once they do that, they just gotta maintain a high quality of play throughout the season. If they win this series and don't do that, the series wont mean anything anyhow.
What's important is playing a strong last 60 games, not winning a 3 game set with 60 games to go.
Lets not lose our eyes on the Prize.
LGM.
Wednesday, July 16, 2008
Update-Fmart, Stats, Mets going Forward
Howdy yall, sorry for the slow updates.
So with talk of Fmart making his ML debut becoming slightly louder these days (Rob Harding of Hotfoot for example has made a case i've disagreed with), lets see how our favorite prospect has been since our last update on 6/29.
First, his last 10 Games (Starting on July 3rd*)
39 ABs, .308 BA (12 hits), 8 Runs, 1 Double, 1 Triple, 2 RBI, 4 BB, 5K, 2SB
(OBP of .372)
Next, his new total stats:
221 ABs, .294 BA (65 Hits), 32 Runs, 12 2B, 2 3B, 4 HR, 21 RBI, 13 BB, 48 K, 5 SB,
.338 OBP, .421 SLG
For reference, his old line was: 302/.339/.450.
So what's happened? Well, Fmart's hitting decreased slightly (notice though that it happened in the 5 game gap in between the last 10 games and our last update, so that might not last) and more importantly, He's K-ing less and seemingly walking more. The ratio is closer to 1-1 than before, where he was King at a roughly 5-1 rate, since then its been 7Ks and 5 BBs, which is certainly much better. As a result, while his average has dropped 8 points, his OBA has for all essential purposes remained the same.
His slugging is down as a result of his power consisting of about 1 double and 1 triple since our last post. Is that a worry? Maybe...but probably not. If he truly is a player with a good amount of pop in his bat, that will show up eventually, regardless of whether he hits for average. And he isn't coming too far off an injury. Morever, as his Plate discipline becomes better, these numbers should change for the better. I expect the doubles and homers to return, and that Slugging average to rise accordingly.
So has FMart turned the corner? Given that some folks were enamored with his 1/2 future's game performance and the BP he took, I'm sure that people are hoping he has. It's too early to say though, he's not even had a 100 plate appearences since our last look in, and things like these could be flukes. Once again I'll proclaim, he's not ready for the Majors yet.
But if he continues like he has the last 60 ABs for a little while longer, i see no reason why the mets might not promote him to AAA. Still, i suspect he's in AA for the rest of the season, where he'll come up as a September call up.
*-I'd do his stats since 6/29, albeit the milb stat site doesnt give a game log link, and while i could piece out that info, its a real pain. This should suffice though.
--------------------
Optimist Peeve
Listen, i love new baseball stats and using stats to measure players. I love browing players' VORPs, figuring out how lucky people are, and am a major proponent of players with high OBPs (Im not as high on OPS, since ive always been told OBP is up to 3x more important than slugging..yet ops is still used like they should be measured 1-1. Seems silly to me). I love using defensive stats to show who should really get gold gloves (Sorry Mr Wright and Mr jeter, you dont deserve em. Now hand em over). My daily baseball browsing routine includes firejoemorgan, hardballtimes, etc etc etc. So lets not group me in with those ignoramus' who claim such stats are made by people in their mother's basement.
BUT (and you did know this was coming) a type of met fan has recently got my attention. This is a type of met fan who notices that our OF production, particularly in left field, has been among th worst offensively in the league. Fine. Thats a very obvious observation, and the stats bear this out with their combined OPS'es (or OPS+ which is a comparison to the mean average) being rather bad, if not awful. And this is undeniable.
But this type of met fan, sees these stats, and becomes rediculously negative about them. They insist we should trade any prospects that arent ML ready soon for replacements (maybe not rentals) or else our season is in the tank. They go on and on about unrealistic trade targets (any Pirates OF, Holliday, etc etc etc. Ibanez included).
It annoys me. We're not getting any of these guys. But we can win with we have, if our pitching can come together. Mind you, some of these guys are just downright negative in general, leading one particular one i know to constantly hate on mike pelfrey. Moron. But the point is this. Yes stats are a great tool that i use and will continue to use (see above). Yes they show some weaknesses in our team. But getting all negative or stupid because of this is just really really annoying. No team is perfect. And We CAN win even with these weaknesses.
-------------------------
The Mets' "second half" (Is it really second half if 3/5 of the season is already played? what an awful terminology) has great potential. The SPs still haven't quite stabilized, and even I am not sure whether i dare to hope pelf can continue this forever. Well, he's got the Phillies next week, so that should be a good measure. Ollie's an unknown, and Maine has struggled of late. Still, the rotation is fairly good, as is the Pen. I have more faith in billy than others, i think he'll come back as strong as ever. Remember guys, Billy> 2000 Armando and 2000s Looper. By Far.
We have a decent shot at making the playoffs. And then it's anyone's game.
So with talk of Fmart making his ML debut becoming slightly louder these days (Rob Harding of Hotfoot for example has made a case i've disagreed with), lets see how our favorite prospect has been since our last update on 6/29.
First, his last 10 Games (Starting on July 3rd*)
39 ABs, .308 BA (12 hits), 8 Runs, 1 Double, 1 Triple, 2 RBI, 4 BB, 5K, 2SB
(OBP of .372)
Next, his new total stats:
221 ABs, .294 BA (65 Hits), 32 Runs, 12 2B, 2 3B, 4 HR, 21 RBI, 13 BB, 48 K, 5 SB,
.338 OBP, .421 SLG
For reference, his old line was: 302/.339/.450.
So what's happened? Well, Fmart's hitting decreased slightly (notice though that it happened in the 5 game gap in between the last 10 games and our last update, so that might not last) and more importantly, He's K-ing less and seemingly walking more. The ratio is closer to 1-1 than before, where he was King at a roughly 5-1 rate, since then its been 7Ks and 5 BBs, which is certainly much better. As a result, while his average has dropped 8 points, his OBA has for all essential purposes remained the same.
His slugging is down as a result of his power consisting of about 1 double and 1 triple since our last post. Is that a worry? Maybe...but probably not. If he truly is a player with a good amount of pop in his bat, that will show up eventually, regardless of whether he hits for average. And he isn't coming too far off an injury. Morever, as his Plate discipline becomes better, these numbers should change for the better. I expect the doubles and homers to return, and that Slugging average to rise accordingly.
So has FMart turned the corner? Given that some folks were enamored with his 1/2 future's game performance and the BP he took, I'm sure that people are hoping he has. It's too early to say though, he's not even had a 100 plate appearences since our last look in, and things like these could be flukes. Once again I'll proclaim, he's not ready for the Majors yet.
But if he continues like he has the last 60 ABs for a little while longer, i see no reason why the mets might not promote him to AAA. Still, i suspect he's in AA for the rest of the season, where he'll come up as a September call up.
*-I'd do his stats since 6/29, albeit the milb stat site doesnt give a game log link, and while i could piece out that info, its a real pain. This should suffice though.
--------------------
Optimist Peeve
Listen, i love new baseball stats and using stats to measure players. I love browing players' VORPs, figuring out how lucky people are, and am a major proponent of players with high OBPs (Im not as high on OPS, since ive always been told OBP is up to 3x more important than slugging..yet ops is still used like they should be measured 1-1. Seems silly to me). I love using defensive stats to show who should really get gold gloves (Sorry Mr Wright and Mr jeter, you dont deserve em. Now hand em over). My daily baseball browsing routine includes firejoemorgan, hardballtimes, etc etc etc. So lets not group me in with those ignoramus' who claim such stats are made by people in their mother's basement.
BUT (and you did know this was coming) a type of met fan has recently got my attention. This is a type of met fan who notices that our OF production, particularly in left field, has been among th worst offensively in the league. Fine. Thats a very obvious observation, and the stats bear this out with their combined OPS'es (or OPS+ which is a comparison to the mean average) being rather bad, if not awful. And this is undeniable.
But this type of met fan, sees these stats, and becomes rediculously negative about them. They insist we should trade any prospects that arent ML ready soon for replacements (maybe not rentals) or else our season is in the tank. They go on and on about unrealistic trade targets (any Pirates OF, Holliday, etc etc etc. Ibanez included).
It annoys me. We're not getting any of these guys. But we can win with we have, if our pitching can come together. Mind you, some of these guys are just downright negative in general, leading one particular one i know to constantly hate on mike pelfrey. Moron. But the point is this. Yes stats are a great tool that i use and will continue to use (see above). Yes they show some weaknesses in our team. But getting all negative or stupid because of this is just really really annoying. No team is perfect. And We CAN win even with these weaknesses.
-------------------------
The Mets' "second half" (Is it really second half if 3/5 of the season is already played? what an awful terminology) has great potential. The SPs still haven't quite stabilized, and even I am not sure whether i dare to hope pelf can continue this forever. Well, he's got the Phillies next week, so that should be a good measure. Ollie's an unknown, and Maine has struggled of late. Still, the rotation is fairly good, as is the Pen. I have more faith in billy than others, i think he'll come back as strong as ever. Remember guys, Billy> 2000 Armando and 2000s Looper. By Far.
We have a decent shot at making the playoffs. And then it's anyone's game.
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